best investment options
What are the forecasts of the American analysts on the world economy in the next year? What assets will become the most profitable and safest way of investment in 2013 - 2014?
Current year was marked by strong volatility in the global financial markets and uncertainty in the world economy. This led investors to think about where to best invest in 2013 - 2014 and what are the prospects for the future. So, head of the investment Department in the North-East region of the U.S. the company Northern Trust Catherine Nixon declares, that now the attention of potential investors is once again attracting the private sector, in which there is a positive dynamics of development.
About the good things in the private sectors say the levels of corporate profits and their stability. Analysts do not refute the fact of a slowdown of the growth of the economy in recent months, however, those companies, the financial results of which are included in the S&P 500 index, is expected in the end of the current year levels of profit above the traditional 9%. This is confirmed by the results of a study of S&P Capital IQ.
Quotations of securities and forecasts of the dynamics of the stock market for the next year are ambiguous enough. When considering the indicator the price/yield, calculated conservative method, when taken into account the average data for the last 10 years, in the analysis of financial instruments, it turns out that they are too expensive to buy. However, if the analysis is considered an indicator the price/yield, calculated according to the methodology of S&P on the basis of the prospects of profitability, the financial instruments are now very attractive for investment. According to соуправляющего company IVA Worldwide Fund Saka de Лардмеля, in the period of the current volatility of the most promising one financial instruments are shares.
Three years later in the form of dividend payments to the owners of equity securities, most likely, will receive the big profit.
Interest rates at the moment is quite low, however, a Bank Deposit can only attract short-term investors. The fact is that in the long term with the interest rates are unlikely to obtain any real incomes due to the impact of inflation. Holders of government bonds should also pay more attention to corporate securities. For example, in autumn of the current year the yield of government bonds, issued for a period of 10 years, fell to 2%. A further reduction will lead to a real lack of income from such way of investment. The experts are convinced that gradually yield of the shares of the Ministry of Finance of the USA will increase. But now look more profitable share of the private sector.
Thus, we can conclude that at the moment, greater yields are equity securities, rather than the instruments, assuming stable payments during the whole term of validity. The best investment option experts see a diversified portfolio of equity and debt securities. Special attention deserve shares reliable companies, or those, which are increasing now arrived at the expense of updating of technological capacity (technological companies and the industrial sector).
It is not worth to invest in higher-yielding and sensitive to the economic situation short-term “junk” bonds larger part of the money. Experts predict increase of their profitability, but not by much. Therefore, to reduce the risks it is recommended to invest in the debt securities of a maximum of 5-10% of the available funds.
About the future prospects of the world economy, many experts differ in opinion. Some predict re-recession and even more profound crisis of the entire world economy. Others believe in a significant проседании of the U.S. economy. Others insist on serious problems in China, the crisis which will lead to a depression of all countries of the world. Nevertheless, many analysts are advised to avoid deposits in securities, denominated in dollars, and European shares, and consider deposits in precious metals and real estate, as well as in the shares of the largest world companies.
